REGULAR ARTICLE
Modeling maize response to climate modification in Hungary
Communications in Biometry and Crop Science (2006) 1 (2), 90-98.
ABSTRACT
Modeling provides a tool for a better understanding of the modified plant behaviour that results from various climatic differences. The present study provides new information about the physiological processes in maize (Zea mays L.) in response to climatic changes. The aim was to help local farmers adapt to climate modifications in Hungary and mitigate the future consequences of these changes. A simulation model was applied to estimate the possible feedback on crop properties and elevated CO2. Increased CO2 and warming increased the ratio of energy converted into sensible heat. At canopy level, warming and elevated CO2 strengthened the influence of an external rise in air temperature. It was cooler inside the stand, as the canopy was able to compensate for external warming. Doubled CO2 concentration had a positive influence on photosynthesis when rainfall remained unchanged. Precipitation shortage decreased the positive effects of warming and elevated CO2. Considering the sensitivity of the photosynthetic process to meteorological factors, a gain in maize production with climate modification is not probable in Hungary.
Key Words: global warming; greenhouse gases; maize response; simulation.
